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AP FACT CHECK: Trump’s election fiction on GOP wins, economy

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Associated Press Photo

On this Nov. 7, 2018, photograph, President Donald Trump speaks throughout a information convention within the East Room on the White Home in Washington. (AP Photograph/Manuel Balce Ceneta)

WASHINGTON (AP) — Recent off the GOP’s lack of the Home, President Donald Trump is fudging the success of a “booming” economy and overstating the impression of his campaigning on the midterm elections.

He prompt that each Republican congressional candidate for whom he paid a go to to their state to rally voters prevailed on Election Day. That’s not true. A number of of his favorites in intently contested Senate and Home races misplaced Tuesday, in some instances after Trump held a number of rallies on their behalf.

On the economy, Trump asserted that U.S. progress beneath his watch has been unprecedented. The truth is, it was surpassed simply 4 years in the past in the course of the Obama administration. He additionally minimized the commerce menace from China and claims a U.S. metal business renaissance that isn’t actually occurring.

And talking earlier than Veterans Day, Trump claimed untimely success in attaining “more for the vets than any president,” citing an expanded well being care program that has but to be absolutely paid for or take impact.

A take a look at his claims and the truth:

MIDTERM ELECTIONS

TRUMP, on the message taken from Tuesday’s elections: “I think the results that I’ve learned, and maybe confirm, I think people like me. I think people like the job I’m doing, frankly. Because if you look at every place I went to do a rally … and it was very hard to do it with people in Congress because there are just too many … but I did it with the Senate. I did it with (Kentucky Rep.) Andy Barr, as you know. And he won.” — information convention Wednesday.

THE FACTS: Trump is improper to recommend that congressional candidates gained in each state the place he held a rally on their behalf.

Two Republicans who intently embraced Trump of their Senate races — Montana’s state auditor, Matt Rosendale, and West Virginia’s lawyer basic, Patrick Morrisey — misplaced to Democratic Sens. Jon Tester and Joe Manchin, respectively. Trump had visited Montana 4 occasions and West Virginia 3 times to rally voters. Additionally dropping Tuesday have been Republican Sen. Dean Heller of Nevada, defeated by Democratic Rep. Jacky Rosen, and Leah Vukmir, a GOP state lawmaker in Wisconsin who misplaced her Senate race to Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin. Trump campaigned for Heller in Nevada on Oct. 20 and for Vukmir in Wisconsin on Oct. 24.

Within the Home, Republican Rep. Jason Lewis misplaced his race in Minnesota to Democrat Angie Craig, whom he had defeated by 2 proportion factors in 2016. Trump campaigned in Minnesota on Oct. four after Lewis invited Trump to seem for him. .

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TRUMP: “Fifty-five is the largest number of Republican senators in the last 100 years.” — information convention Wednesday.

THE FACTS: His social gathering didn’t win 55 Senate seats Tuesday. Republicans held 55 seats within the Senate in 2005-2006, in addition to 1997-2000, in line with the Senate historian’s workplace.

After Tuesday’s elections, Republicans will maintain a 51-46 edge, with races in Florida and Arizona too near name. A particular election in Mississippi has superior to a runoff election on Nov. 27 between Republican Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith and Democrat Mike Espy. Meaning 54 Republican seats if these three races all break the GOP’s means.

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ECONOMY

TRUMP: “America is booming like never before. … In terms of GDP, we’re doing unbelievably.” — information convention Wednesday.

TRUMP, on his phone dialog Tuesday night time with Home Democratic chief Nancy Pelosi: “We didn’t talk about impeaching. We didn’t talk about — what do you do? Do you impeach somebody because he created the greatest economic success in the history of our country?”

THE FACTS: The economy is wholesome, nevertheless it’s not unbelievable or unprecedented. It’s additionally not clear what he means in claiming the nation’s “greatest economic success” ever.

The economy expanded at a four.2 % annual fee within the April-June quarter, then by three.5 % within the July-September quarter. These are the perfect two quarters in simply 4 years. Progress reached 5.1 % within the second quarter of 2014, adopted by four.9 % within the third quarter.

The economy has boomed rather more dramatically up to now. Within the late 1990s, progress topped four % for 4 straight years. It reached 7.2 % in 1984. The unemployment price is now at a powerful 50-year low of three.7 %. Nevertheless it remained under four % for almost 4 years within the late 1960s.

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TRUMP: “And our steel industry is back. Our aluminum industry is starting to do really well. These are industries that were dead. Our miners are working again.” — information convention Wednesday.

THE FACTS: He’s exaggerating.

The metal business has added jobs at a quicker price than the economy as an entire since Trump’s inauguration, although all of the positive aspects occurred earlier than the administration imposed tariffs on metal imports in March. Nonetheless, the rebound has hardly restored metal to its former glory.

America has added 5,500 metal jobs since Trump entered the White Home for a complete of 86,500. Earlier than the Nice Recession, there have been about 100,000 metal jobs. Aluminum factories have added 2,600 jobs because the inauguration for a complete of 60,100. These are minor modifications in an economy with virtually 150 million jobs.

In the meantime, not many miners are working once more. Coal mining jobs have elevated simply 1,900 to 52,600 since Trump’s inauguration. That’s additionally quite a bit decrease than the roughly 70,000 coal mining jobs that existed as just lately as 2014.

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TRUMP: “China got rid of their ‘China ’25’ because I found it very insulting. I said that to them. I said, ‘China ’25’ is very insulting, because ‘China ’25’ means, in 2025, they’re going to take over, economically, the world. I said, ‘That’s not happening.’” — information convention Wednesday.

THE FACTS: There’s no proof China has deserted its financial plan. Trump is referring to China’s “Made in China 2025” plan, underneath which that nation’s authorities goals to develop world-leading corporations in robotics, semiconductors, electrical automobiles and different superior applied sciences. It’s a sore level between the 2 nations as a result of america and different nations argue that China is utilizing unfair techniques to realize these goals, comparable to forcing U.S. corporations to share know-how and offering authorities subsidies.

Chinese language officers have performed down the plan in current months due to the worldwide criticism. However there’s little signal they’ve “gotten rid of” the plan. As a result of China sees the plan as a key step within the improvement of its economy, many observers fear they’re unlikely to scale it again, which suggests U.S.-China commerce fights aren’t going away anytime quickly.

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VETERANS

TRUMP: “I’ve done more for the vets than any President has done, certainly in many, many decades, with Choice and with other things, as you know. …If you look at Choice — Choice alone — I mean, just take a look at what we’ve done with Choice.” — information convention Wednesday.

THE FACTS: He’s taking untimely credit score for enhancements that may take years to see full impact regarding the Veterans Selection program.

Trump signed laws in June to broaden the private-sector Selection program, which was first authorised in 2014 through the Obama administration within the wake of a scandal on the Phoenix VA medical middle through which some veterans died whereas ready months for appointments. The present Selection program permits veterans to see docs outdoors the VA system if they need to wait greater than 30 days for an appointment or drive greater than 40 miles to a VA facility.

How a lot Selection might be expanded, nevertheless, will rely on yet-to-be-completed laws that may decide eligibility for veterans in addition to out there cash for this system. The Division of Veterans Affairs has but to resolve long-term financing resulting from congressional finances caps that would put funding for VA or different home packages susceptible to shortfalls subsequent yr.

Additionally necessary to this system’s success is an overhaul of the VA’s digital medical data to permit seamless sharing of medical data with personal physicians, a course of anticipated to take as much as 10 years. VA Secretary Robert Wilkie has stated full implementation of the expanded Selection program is “years” away.

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HEALTH CARE

TRUMP, on preserving well being premiums down and overlaying individuals with preexisting medical circumstances: “What we’re doing, if you look at the Department of Labor also — (Health and Human Services) Secretary (Alex) Azar, what they’ve done. They’ve come up with some incredible health care plans, which is causing great competition and driving the prices right down.” — information convention Wednesday.

THE FACTS: He’s glossing over the restrictions of his administration’s new well being care choices, which supply decrease premiums than complete plans such because the Reasonably priced Care Act but in addition cowl much less. The supply of Trump’s short-term well being plans additionally just isn’t going to “drive down” costs of the Obama-era overhaul or complete plans, however might improve premiums for strong protection if fewer wholesome individuals take it consequently.

Strictly talking, the short-term and affiliation well being plans will not be new. The Trump administration has broadened their potential attain, though some states might push again with restrictions.

Brief-term plans don’t need to take individuals with medical circumstances or present advantages similar to protection for maternity, psychological well being, prescribed drugs and substance abuse remedy. Affiliation well being plans do have to simply accept individuals with pre-existing medical circumstances, however they don’t should cowl the complete menu of 10 “essential” sorts of advantages required by Obamacare.

Gary Claxton of the nonpartisan Kaiser Household Basis says short-term plans might transform extra pricey than Trump administration officers recommend. The plans now cowl as much as 90 days, but when insurers increase them to supply as much as 36 months’ protection, the businesses shall be taking on extra danger.

“You’ll have to pay more up front because there’s a longer time during which you could get sick,” Claxton stated.

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Related Press writers Cal Woodward, Alan Fram and Ricardo Alonso-Zaldivar contributed to this report.

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EDITOR’S NOTE _ A take a look at the veracity of claims by political figures

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