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AP FACT CHECK: Trump on migrants, Saudis, Hispanic vote

Associated Press Photo

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Associated Press Photo

Honduras migrants wait to be attended by Mexican migration authorities on a bridge that stretches over the Suchiate River, connecting Guatemala and Mexico, in Tecun Uman, Guatemala, Sunday, Oct. 21, 2018. Regardless of Mexican efforts to cease them on the border, about 5,000 Central American migrants resumed their advance towards the U.S. border early Sunday in southern Mexico. (AP Photograph/Oliver de Ros)

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump inflated the projected advantages of an arms cope with the Saudis as he defended his wait-and-see angle about Saudi complicity within the disappearance of a journalist whose obvious homicide has sparked world outrage.

On immigration enforcement, the president made the unsubstantiated declare that migrants are being paid to mass on the border and one way or the other disrupt the Nov. 6 elections in the USA. Trump additionally stretched credulity when boasting about his efficiency with Hispanic voters at a rally and distorted details regarding local weather change and the Russia investigation in a current interview with The Related Press.

A take a look at a few of his phrases over the previous week:


TRUMP: “We’re doing very well with Hispanic Americans. We’re doing very well. Because you know what? They want safety at the border. They want great jobs. Remember, the last election, well, ‘he won’t do too well with the Hispanic vote.’ Did we do well or what?” — Arizona rally Friday.

THE FACTS: Extra “what” than “well.”

Amongst Hispanics, Democrat Hillary Clinton beat Trump handily in 2016, 66 % to 28 %, in response to exit polls. That degree of Hispanic help for a Democratic candidate was just like 2008, when Barack Obama gained 67 % of the Hispanic vote to Republican John McCain’s 31 %.

On the similar time, Clinton’s efficiency amongst Hispanics lagged their help for Obama in 2012, when he gained 71 % to Republican Mitt Romney’s 27 %.

Trump in 2016 had campaigned closely on a platform of constructing a wall alongside the U.S.-Mexico border, calling for mass deportations and referring to some Mexicans as rapists. Provided that report, it’s truthful to say he outperformed expectations with Hispanic voters, however he did worse or at the very least no higher than McCain in 2008.



TRUMP, on a caravan of Central American migrants making an attempt to succeed in the U.S.: “A lot of money’s been passing through people to come up and try to get to the border by Election Day because they think that’s a negative for us.” — Montana rally Thursday.

TRUMP on the caravan: “Can you believe this, and what Democrats are allowing to be done to our Country?” — tweet Thursday.

THE FACTS: Trump was riffing off of an unsupported allegation by Rep. Matt Gaetz, R-Fla., that folks have been being paid in Honduras to hitch the caravan and “storm the border @ election time,” as Gaetz tweeted.

Gaetz tweeted a video on Wednesday of males handing out cash to individuals standing in a line, with out proof that it illustrated his declare. Questioned concerning the video’s origin, Gaetz posted a correction on Twitter, saying, “This video was provided to me by a Honduran government official. Thus, I believed it to be from Honduras.”

Neither man has produced proof that the migrants are being paid to return to the border.

Mexico’s authorities says migrants with correct paperwork can enter Mexico and people who don’t both have to use for refugee standing or face deportation.



TRUMP: “Frankly they have a tremendous order — $110 billion. Every country in the world wanted a piece of that order. We got all of it. And what are we going to do? Again, I’ve had some senators come up and some congressmen that said, ‘Well, you know, sir, I think what we should do is we should not take that order.’ I said, ‘Who are we hurting? It’s 500,000 jobs.’” — interview Wednesday with Fox Enterprise Information.

TRUMP, on potential motion towards Saudi Arabia: “I’ll be working on this with Congress. … But I would prefer that we don’t use as retribution canceling $110 billion worth of work, which means 600,000 jobs. … I went there to get that order.” — remarks Friday at a protection occasion in Arizona.

THE FACTS: Trump’s improper to recommend that he has $110 billion in army orders from Saudi Arabia. A much smaller quantity in gross sales has truly been signed. His State Division has additionally estimated a lot fewer U.S. jobs than Trump’s determine of 500,000 to 600,000, projecting “potentially tens of thousands.”

Particulars of the $110 billion arms package deal, partly negotiated underneath the Obama administration and agreed upon in Might 2017, have been sketchy. On the time the Trump administration offered solely a broad description of the protection gear that may be bought. There was no public breakdown of precisely what was being provided on the market and for a way a lot.

The Congressional Analysis Service described the package deal as a mixture of gross sales proposed by Obama and mentioned with Congress and new gross sales nonetheless being developed.

The Pentagon stated this month that Saudi Arabia has signed “letters of offer and acceptance” for less than $14.5 billion in gross sales, together with helicopters, tanks, ships, weapons and coaching. These letters, issued after the U.S. authorities has authorised a proposed sale, specify its phrases.

Relating to financial impression, Trump’s declare of about 500,000 jobs concerned — he later upped that determine to 600,000 — is questionable given the tenuous nature of the orders. A Might 20, 2017, State Division reality sheet on the proposed $110 billion deal estimated it might find yourself “potentially supporting tens of thousands of new jobs in the United States.”

Trump’s repeated claims that he’s signed $110 billion value of latest arms gross sales to Riyadh are “just not true,” stated Bruce Riedel, a senior fellow at Brookings Establishment and former CIA and Protection Division official. “Very little has changed hands.”

Trump has pledged unspecified “severe punishment” ought to the U.S. decide Saudi involvement within the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi, who had written columns essential of Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman. However Trump has stated he doesn’t need to halt the arms sale to Saudi Arabia as a result of it might hurt U.S. producers. Saudi Arabia is certainly a serious U.S. ally and arms buyer.

Trump on Friday referred to as Saudi Arabia’s announcement that suspects in Khashoggi’s demise are in custody a “good first step.” Saudi Arabia has claimed that Khashoggi was killed in a “fistfight” on the Saudi Consulate in Istanbul.

Trump stated that earlier than he determined what to do subsequent, he needed to speak to Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman



TRUMP, talking concerning the failed nomination of White Home physician Ronny Jackson to be Veterans Affairs secretary: “Ever since his vicious and totally false statements about Admiral Ron Jackson, the highly respected White House Doctor for Obama, Bush & me, Senator John Tester looks to be in big trouble in the Great State of Montana! He behaved worse than the Democrat Mob did with Justice K!” — tweet Wednesday.

THE FACTS: Trump misleads by looking for to put the blame for Jackson’s failed nomination totally on Tester, the highest Democrat on the Senate Veterans Affairs Committee. It additionally stays unclear whether or not the late-surfacing allegations towards Jackson are “totally false” as a result of the Pentagon inspector basic is constant to evaluate a few of them.

Jackson, a Navy rear admiral, withdrew his nomination in April after Tester launched outcomes of committee interviews he carried out with army personnel who raised questions on Jackson’s prescribing practices and management capability. The interviews have been executed with the information and help of Sen. Johnny Isakson, R-Ga., chairman of the committee contemplating Jackson’s nomination.

The time interval coated Jackson’s tenure as a White Home doctor courting to 2006 and concerned his present and former colleagues who served in each Republican and Democratic administrations.

Jackson, who broadly denied allegations of dangerous conduct, had already confronted robust questions from a number of committee Republicans about whether or not he had the expertise to handle the huge VA.

The allegations have been referred to the Pentagon’s inspector basic for analysis. After an preliminary evaluation and evaluate, the inspector common’s workplace in June determined a proper investigation was warranted. That probe is constant, in accordance with the workplace.



TRUMP: “I want the cleanest air on the planet and our air now is cleaner than it’s ever been.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: He’s mistaken concerning the air being the cleanest ever, in line with his personal administration. Whereas the air usually has been getting cleaner because the 1970s, the downward development in air pollution has made a little bit of a U-turn since Trump took workplace.

His Environmental Safety Company launched knowledge that confirmed conventional air air pollution — soot and smog — elevated in 2017 and that the air is just not the cleanest it has ever been.

The times with an unhealthy variety of small air pollution particles, typically referred to as soot and linked to coronary heart and lung issues and deaths, jumped from 2016 to 2017 in 35 main metropolitan areas. In 2017, there have been 179 unhealthy soot days, up 85 % from 97 in 2016. Final yr had probably the most unhealthy soot days since 2011.

The variety of days with unhealthy smog ranges was down from 2016, however greater than 2015, 2014 and 2013.

The variety of days when the air high quality index was unhealthy was 729 in 2017. The variety of days is larger than a yr as a result of it counts every metropolis’s unhealthy studying on a sure day as one and there are quite a few cities concerned. Final yr’s degree was the very best since 2012 and a 21 % improve over the cleanest air in 2014.



TRUMP, when requested a few dire U.N. report this month on local weather change that stated harmful warming has already occurred and that with every diploma, the various harms to Earth will get much more treacherous: “No, no. Some say that and some say differently, I mean you have scientists on both sides of it.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: He’s mistaken to recommend the scientific group is considerably cut up. Scientists from around the globe wrote the current report, and it was unanimously accepted by authorities representatives around the globe, together with in america, stated Cornell College local weather scientist Natalie Mahowald, a lead writer of the report.

The Trump administration final yr additionally launched the Nationwide Local weather Evaluation, which painted an analogous image.

College of Illinois local weather scientist Donald Wuebbles, a lead writer of that nationwide report, emailed that “there is no debate AT ALL going on about this within the scientific community.”

“Trump might as well be saying that there are scientists on ‘both sides of the gravity debate,’” Pennsylvania State College local weather scientist Michael Mann stated in an e-mail. “Dangerous climate change impacts are already apparent. Of course there are uncertainties. There always are. There are uncertainties in the science of gravity (we have never measured a graviton, the fundamental unit of gravity). That doesn’t make it safe to jump off a cliff.”



TRUMP: “We have the worst laws in the history of the world on immigration and we’re getting them changed one by one. We’ve made a lot of progress in the last couple of weeks even, but we’re getting them changed one by one.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: He’s truly failed to realize modifications in immigration legal guidelines. All of the immigration-related modifications pushed by his administration have been accomplished by government order, not laws, or via coverage shifts such because the zero tolerance coverage that criminally prosecuted anybody caught crossing illegally and gave rise to household separations. The administration additionally has used laws to tighten the principles on how immigrants can obtain public advantages. Immigration laws has failed regardless of Republican management of the White Home and each homes of Congress.


TRUMP, on the separation of youngsters from their mother and father on the border: “Now President Obama had the same law. He did the same thing.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: Obama didn’t do the identical factor as a matter of coverage. It’s true the underlying legal guidelines have been the identical. However the Trump administration mandated anybody caught crossing the border illegally was to be criminally prosecuted. The coverage meant adults have been taken to courtroom for felony proceedings, and their youngsters have been separated and despatched into the care of the Well being and Human Providers Division, which is tasked with caring for unaccompanied migrant youngsters. The zero tolerance coverage stays in impact, however Trump signed an government order June 20 that stopped separations.

Jeh Johnson, Obama’s homeland safety secretary, informed NPR there might have been uncommon or emergency circumstances when youngsters have been taken from mother and father however there was no such coverage.


TRUMP: “And in fact the picture of children living in cages that was taken in 2014 was a picture of President Obama’s administration and the way they handled children. They had the kids living in cages. They thought it was our administration and they used it, and then unbeknownst to them and the fake news they found out, ‘Oh my God, this is a terrible situation.’ This was during the Obama administration.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: He’s proper. Photographs that circulated on-line through the peak of Trump’s household separations controversy have been truly from 2014 beneath the Obama administration. However circumstances for some youngsters haven’t modified. In June, an Related Press reporter was a part of a gaggle that visited a U.S. Border Patrol holding facility, the place a whole lot of youngsters have been ready in a collection of cages created by metallic fencing. One cage had 20 youngsters inside, scattered round have been bottles of water, luggage of chips and enormous foil sheets meant to function blankets. The cages in every wing opened out into widespread areas to make use of moveable restrooms.

The youngsters each in 2014 and 2018 have been separated briefly from their mother and father within the amenities, positioned in areas by age and intercourse for security causes.



TRUMP, about particular counsel Robert Mueller’s Russia investigation: “It’s a tremendous waste of time for the president of the United States. To think that I would be even thinking about using Russia to help me win Idaho, we’re using Russia to help me win the great state of Iowa or anywhere else is the most preposterous, embarrassing thing.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: Trump could also be proper that he didn’t want a lift in Idaho and Iowa, states he gained in 2016 with snug margins of 31 proportion factors and 9 proportion factors, respectively. However the notion of Russia-backed actions on his behalf “anywhere else” within the U.S. isn’t far-fetched, in response to an indictment in February by Mueller.

The indictment accuses 13 Russians and three Russian entities of in search of to assist Trump defeat Democrat Hillary Clinton by operating a hidden social media trolling marketing campaign and looking for to mobilize Trump supporters at rallies whereas posing as American political activists in “purple states like Colorado, Virginia and Florida.” In response to the indictment, the surreptitious marketing campaign was organized by the Web Analysis Company, a Russian troll farm financed by corporations managed by Yevgeny Prigozhin, a rich businessman with ties to President Vladimir Putin.

The indictment says the defendants generally referred to concentrating on extra intently divided “purple states” after being suggested by a Texas-based grass-roots group in June 2016 to focus efforts there.

The indictment particulars contacts concentrating on three unidentified officers within the Trump marketing campaign’s Florida operation. In every occasion, the Russians used false U.S. personas to contact the officers. The indictment doesn’t say if any of them responded.

Trump misplaced by almost 2.9 million votes within the widespread vote to Clinton, however captured the wanted Electoral School votes to win the presidency after prevailing in politically divided states together with Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.


TRUMP, on his former private lawyer, Michael Cohen: “By the way, he was in trouble not for what he did for me; he was in trouble for what he did for himself. You do know that? Having to do with loans, mortgages, taxicabs and various other things, if you read the paper.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: Cohen was undoubtedly in hassle for what he did for Trump. He said in open courtroom that Trump directed him to rearrange funds of hush cash to porn star Stormy Daniels and former Playboy mannequin, Karen McDougal, to fend off injury to Trump’s White Home bid.

Cohen stated one cost was made “in coordination and at the direction of a candidate for federal office,” and the opposite was made “under direction of the same candidate.”

It’s true that Cohen didn’t determine Trump, however there was no ambiguity in courtroom paperwork or in his assertion.

Cohen’s extraordinary assertion at his August plea listening to marked the primary time any Trump affiliate, in open courtroom, has implicated the president himself in a criminal offense.

Trump is, nevertheless, right that different expenses which Cohen admitted to didn’t contain the candidate or the marketing campaign and have been for tax deception.


TRUMP: “Do you know these Russian hackers you’re talking about from Moscow? They have nothing to do with me. … They were hackers from Moscow. Some of them supported Hillary Clinton.” — AP interview Tuesday.

THE FACTS: The Mueller indictment provides no proof or cause to consider that the Russian effort was meant to assist elect Clinton — fairly the other. Some anti-Trump messaging tied to Russians was certainly disseminated on-line, however investigators consider the motive was to unfold confusion and discord within the marketing campaign, to not elect her.

The professional-Trump efforts recognized within the indictment have been strategic, on the bottom in key states in addition to on-line, and included makes an attempt to make contact with Trump marketing campaign officers. Russian President Vladimir Putin, whereas denying any involvement in Russian interference, has stated he needed Trump to win.


Related Press writers Matthew Pennington, Seth Borenstein, Eric Tucker and Colleen Lengthy contributed to this report.


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EDITOR’S NOTE _ A take a look at the veracity of claims by political figures

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